![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEifAN3Oh8yxsztquDgG_oHqFuC91Ynf4BG-ItCCreLNTyLA54ch0gttrgXM6rmfSc6QxluDcaVDja5p-XgLmfmgYtlIwR_-ABeNkHxX2m5I5wLwfJgodKlIv6h-m7bxMwHnmbneSQ38o44/s1600/AUDCAD_TM_20140924.jpg)
Viewed from current monetary policy, AUD rate is 2.50% while CAD rate is 1.00%. The spread AUD minus CAD is 1.50%, and theoretical forward rate is expected lower AUDCAD than its spot rate. It implies that downward risk theoretically exists in longer term.
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