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Showing posts with label USDCAD. Show all posts
Showing posts with label USDCAD. Show all posts

Wednesday, 11 November 2015

USDCAD Trend & momentum 11-Nov-2015

USD has been up and down for some weeks because of uncertainty whether Federal Reserve increase their interest rate by the end of 2015.
GBP was another currency whose interest rate had been expected going up. However, in earlier this month, Bank of England governor Mark Carney hinted their interest rate will stay lower for longer. GBP has gone down sharply against major currencies including USD and JPY.

Bank of England governor Mark Carney has said he still sees the need for gradual interest rates rises to bring inflation back to target, but latest forecasts signal a hike in the cost of borrowing may not come for another year.
Mr Carney, who previously said the decision on whether to raise rates would come into "sharper relief" around the turn of the year, said the economic picture had changed in recent months as the global economy has slowed.
He warned the outlook for global growth had weakened since the Bank's last inflation report in August and added that there was a risk of a "more abrupt slowdown in China", which could hit UK growth.
His comments follow the Bank's decision once more to keep interest rates at 0.5%, where they have remained for more than six years.

By the way, the trend and momentum for USDCAD indicates it is expected going down in a coming week. Fundamentally, expectation for the rate rise is a driving factor to USD in short term. If the market consensus expect the rate will not rise by the end of this year, USD could go down sharply against major currencies.


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Monday, 19 January 2015

USDCAD trend & momentum 19-Jan-2015

USDCAD stays at around 1.197, which has gone up for last two weeks.Now the trend and momentum indicates USDCAD is expected slightly downward trend for a coming week.

Some important events are planned in this week though they are European issues, such as ECB decision or Greek election.
 Market consensus will be more conservative in this period, and conservative currencies, such as JPY, might be stronger in this period.





Sunday, 9 November 2014

Cross-USD Trend & Momentum 9-Nov-2014

USD has been stronger against most of major currencies, EUR, GBP, AUD and particularly JPY due to BOJ announced additional QE since end of last month. Japanese stock market also has shot up.
Although fundamentals imply USD can be stronger in economic situation while Europe and Japan central bank keep QE, some market analysts and Trend & Momentum signal indicate USD will be less strong against other currencies.




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Saturday, 6 September 2014

USDCAD Trend & Momentum 6-Sep-2014

USDCAD has gone up for early last week but the upside was very limited. It was closed a little higher level than beginning of the last week.

Analyzed level is higher than the latest USDCAD, and the trend & momentum indicates downward in next week.

Remarkably, some of major European currencies EUR, GBP or CHF have been shoot down by ECB cutting the interest rate particularly. On the other hand, EURCAD or EURAUD have marked the lowest level in 11 months and 15 months respectively.

AUD is a contrast in the market consensus to EUR as Australian interest rate is expected higher. (Australian Dollar cash rate at 2.50% more than 12 months)






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Sunday, 31 August 2014

USDCAD Trend & Momentum 31-Aug-2014

USDCAD has steeply gone down for last week and closed around 1.087 at the end of the week. CAD has been stronger against some major currencies such as AUD, USD, EUR or GBP. Trend and momentum of USDCAD and AUDCAD are better fitted relatively.

The indicator implies USDCAD reached at bottom of both trend and momentum, and it could be reversed from early next week.




For more currency pairs, the trend & momentum indicators available on Google play.