Australian Dollar surging in a coming week? Trend and Momentum 4-Sep-2020

The stock markets have well surged since last April despite Covid-19 having devastated in the world. It is most likely because of the excessive liquidity brought by central banks in major economies. Even though DJIA down more than 800 points yesterday, it is too soon to conclude the upward trend is over.

Back to the topic, the latest Trend and Momentum indicate Australian dollar could surge in a coming week after reaching the bottom. If you want to see the Trend and Momentums for other FX pairs, visit: QROSS X - Trend and Momentums.

AUDCAD Trend and Momentum

AUDJPY Trend and Momentum

AUDUSD Trend and Momentum

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Australian Dollar surging in a coming week? Trend and Momentum on 30-Apr-2019

Australian Dollar (AUD) 's performance has been bearish for about last two weeks against some major currencies CAD or USD while NZD has been even weaker since the end of March.

Australian economy fairly depends on Chinese economy which is under pressure, and the second biggest economy could drive Australian economy and the value of its currency.

As a matter of technical indicators for the short term, the Trend and Momentum are indicating AUD could be surging in a coming week, and quick downturn after surging is also anticipated.

AUDCAD

[AUDCAD Trend and Momentum as of 30-Apr-2019]

AUDUSD

[AUDUSD Trend and Momentum as of 30-Apr-2019]

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AUDCAD trend & momentum, economic figures released in a coming week 7-Dec-2015

AUDCAD stays around 0.9816 now, and it has steeply gone up for a last week. The latest trend and momentum signal indicates AUDCAD is expected to be reversed into downward trend for a coming week. Keep in mind that economic figures will be released over the week in both Australia and Canada. While technical analysis works under economic events, checking the predictable events maximizes your profit from trading activity.

The Sydney Morning Herald >> Flood of leading indicators arrive this week
The ANZ job ads, National Australia Bank's business confidence and conditions, and the Westpac-Melbourne Institute consumer sentiment index come in early this week.
The business and consumer confidence figures will be watched for signs that a wave of approval following Malcolm Turnbull's appointment in September as Prime Minister was more than just a honeymoon period. Westpac-MI's consumer sentiment index in particular read 101.7, a near two-year high, last month. A number over 100 signals that optimists outweigh pessimists.

Wall Street Journal >> Key Canada Events: Week of December 7 to 11
Highlights on this week’s Canadian events calendar include a speech by Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz, the latest read on the country’s housing market and earnings from a few big retailers.

Stephen Poloz, governor of Canada’s central bank, is scheduled to deliver a speech in Toronto on Tuesday. The topic of his speech, after which Mr. Poloz will take questions, is entitled “The Evolution of Unconventional Monetary Policy.” The governor’s appearance comes less than a week after the central bank held its key interest rate steady at 0.5% and said Canada’s economy faces a “complex and lengthy” transition amid lower commodity prices.

Also on Tuesday, Canada’s main housing agency – Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. -- will release housing starts for November. National Bank said it expects a softening in starts to around 195,000, based on declining building-permit applications. Building permits unexpectedly declined in September -- the latest reading -- on weaker demand to construct condominium units and single-detached homes. Housing starts in October fell 14.4% to an annual rate of 198,065.

AUDCAD Trend & momentum 7-Aug-2015

AUDCAD has been upward trend since last interest rate decison by RBA. On the other side, CAD had been weaker againt other currencies after the unexpected rate cut with concerned statistical figure last month.

In the mean time, the trend and momentum indicates AUDCAD will be downward trend in a coming week, implying bounce back from the upward trend.

AUDCAD Trend & Momentum 24-Sep-2014

 AUDCAD has been declined for last 2 weeks.Trend and Momentum indicator shows AUDCAD is expected to be bounce up in a coming week, but downward risk remains toward later.

 Viewed from current monetary policy, AUD rate is 2.50% while CAD rate is 1.00%. The spread AUD minus CAD is 1.50%, and theoretical forward rate is expected lower AUDCAD than its spot rate. It implies that downward risk theoretically exists in longer term.


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Australian Dollar cash rate at 2.50% more than 12 months

RBA still hold cash rate at 2.50% record low for more than 1 year after the cash rate had gone down in large scale from 2012 to 2013.

Some of the analysts start expecting the cash rate hikes early next year. Once market consensus focus on the increasing rate, cross-AUD pairs will have more clear direction and AUD will be stronger against several currencies.

Source: http://www.news.com.au/finance/money/rba-keeps-interest-rates-on-hold-in-september/story-e6frfmci-1227045102271

AUDCAD Trend & Momentum

AUDCAD was expected to hike from 1-Jul, and currently AUDCAD is at around 1.0094 and the today's highest was at around 1.0116.

Analyzed by Trend & Momentum indicators, the peek is expected between 1.01 and 1.02. AUDCAD could be going up by middle of this week, but the upside is limited.


AUDCAD Trend & Momentum analysis