A.I. Range forecast for 30-Nov-2020 [Popular pairs against JPY]

A.I. Range forecasts of popular pairs against JPY until the end of Monday (UTC). For some whose last Trend and Momentum have been better fitted, their figures are also available below.

Japan is one of the biggest markets where FX trading is active among the private and corporate investors.

[AUDJPY]

Range forecast: 76.414 (-0.59%)  -  77.321 (+0.59%).

Confidence: 74.6%.

The chance of Downside swing is more considerable.

[EURJPY]

Range forecast: 124.1 (-0.34%)  -  124.64 (+0.1%).
Confidence: 71.6%.
The chance of Downside swing is more considerable.

[GBPJPY]

Range forecast: 138.12 (-0.31%)  -  138.6 (+0.04%).

Confidence: 73.9%.

The chance of Downside swing is more considerable.

[USDJPY]

Range forecast: 103.59 (-0.49%)  -  104.26 (+0.15%).

Confidence: 69.9%.

The chance of Downside swing is more considerable.

To check Forex trading signals on your Android devices, download Forex Signal by QROSS X.

A.I. Range forecast + Trend and Momentum for 18-Nov-2020 [EURJPY | GBPJPY]

Here are the forecasts for EURJPY and GBPJPY respectively as their Trend and Momentums are well fitted this time. The range forecast is for next 24 hours.

[EURJPY] To the QROSS X Trend and Momentum

Range forecast: 123.14 (-0.27%)  -  123.84 (+0.3%) , for next 24 hours.
Confidence: 74.2%.
The chance of Downside swing is a little more likely than Upside.

[GBPJPY] To the QROSS X Trend and Momentum

Range forecast: 137.68 (-0.32%)  -  138.93 (+0.58%) , for next 24 hours.
Confidence: 75.6%.
The chance of Downside swing is more considerable.

To check Forex trading signals on your Android devices, download Forex Signal by QROSS X.

A.I. Range forecast + Trend and Momentum for 13-Nov-2020 [AUDNZD | GBPCAD | CHFJPY]

 The range forecasts for selected FXs until the end of Monday morning. The time-line is based on UTC.

[AUDNZD] To QROSS X Trend and Momentum

Range forecast: 1.0585 (-0.29%)  -  1.0652 (+0.34%) , until the end of Monday morning (UTC).
Confidence: 75.8%.

[GBPCAD] To QROSS X Trend and Momentum

Range forecast: 1.7235 (-0.34%)  -  1.7398 (+0.6%) , until the end of Monday morning (UTC).
Confidence: 72.3%.

[CHFJPY] To QROSS X Trend and Momentum

Range forecast: 114.38 (-0.23%)  -  114.88 (+0.21%) , until the end of Monday morning (UTC).
Confidence: 73.8%.

To check Forex trading signals on your Android devices, download Forex Signal by QROSS X.

A.I. Range forecast for 2-Nov-2020 [AUDJPY | EURGBP | EURUSD | USDJPY]

The range forecast until the end of next Monday for some major FXs. The time-line is based on UTC.

[AUDJPY]  To QROSS X Trend and Momentum

Range forecast: 73.032 (-0.62%)  -  73.664 (+0.24%) by the end of next Monday.
Confidence: 74.1%.
The chance of Downside swing is more considerable.

[EURGBP]  To QROSS X Trend and Momentum

Range forecast: 0.89689 (-0.29%)  -  0.90848 (+1%) by the end of next Monday.
Confidence: 78.1%.
The chance of Upside swing is more considerable.

[EURUSD]  To QROSS X Trend and Momentum

Range forecast: 1.1625 (-0.18%)  -  1.1668 (+0.19%) by the end of next Monday.
Confidence: 68.3%.
The chance of Downside swing is more considerable.

[USDJPY]  To QROSS X Trend and Momentum

Range forecast: 104.26 (-0.34%)  -  104.75 (+0.13%) by the end of next Monday.
Confidence: 67.8%.
The chance of Upside swing is more considerable while the expected margin will be limited.

It is possible that the Trend and Momentum indicate the different direction against the A.I.'s review.

As many are aware, the US presidential election is being held on 3-Nov in US time. Financial markets, including FX, are possibly impacted according to the outcome. It must be kept in mind.

Regarding Brexit, the internal market bill is being scrutinized and voted in the House of Lords on 9-Nov. Since the bill includes some controversial clauses, there is a certain possibility the Peers could block the bill. It is 2 months to go until the transition period is over.

European currencies [GBP, EUR and CHF] are surging against JPY in a coming week?

As the major stock indices in US, European and some Asia-Pacific markets have sharply tumbled this week, their monthly declines are marking the worst in the last several months respectively.

Japanese yen which is typically considered as a safe haven has gained for the time, and the Trend and Momentums indicate some European currencies could bounce back against JPY in a coming week.

GBPJPY Trend and Momentum

EURJPY Trend and Momentum

CHFJPY Trend and Momentum

The time is based on Universal time (UTC).

[A.I.'s review (GBPJPY)]

Range forecast: 134.51 (-0.52%)  -  135.93 (+0.53%) until the end of next Monday morning.

Confidence: 74.7%.

The chance of Downside swing is still considerable by the end of next Monday morning. The swing risk will be neutralized after that time.

[A.I.'s review (EURJPY)]

Range forecast: 121.43 (-0.34%)  -  122.26 (+0.35%) until the end of next Monday morning.

Confidence: 71.5%.

The chance of swing is little biased toward any directions by the end of next Monday morning. Then, the Upside swing is more considerable by the end of next Wednesday morning, and the swing risk will be neutralized.

[A.I.'s review (CHFJPY)]

Range forecast: 113.07 (-0.72%)  -  114.35 (+0.4%) until the end of next Monday morning.

Confidence: 75.6%.

The chance of Upside swing is a little more likely than Downside by the end of next Monday morning. Then. the Upside swing is more considerable by the end of next Tuesday morning. 

To check Forex trading signals on your Android devices, download Forex Signal by QROSS X.

EURJPY jumped since the beginning of this week. Is the trend being neutralized? 20-Oct-2020

EURJPY has surged since the market opening on Monday, which currently stays around 124.59. Reviewed our forecast as of last Friday, it could say that the realized trend has been consistent with the forecast.

Today's Trend and Momentum indicates there is still a room of EURJPY going up while the A.I.'s review tells that the trend will be more neutralized.

[A.I.'s review]

Range forecast: 124.23 (-0.31%)  -  125.08 (+0.37%) , for next 24 hours.

Confidence: 73.6%.

The chance of Downside swing is a little more likely than Upside in next 24 hours. It will turn slightly Upside by this Friday's morning.

To check Forex trading signals on your Android devices, download Forex Signal by QROSS X.

EURJPY surging in next week? Trend and Momentum + A.I.'s review 16-Oct-2020

 As the trend and momentum of EURJPY well fitted, it indicates EURJPY is expected to surge in next week.

[A.I.'s review]

Our A.I. forecasts a short term range as below:

Range forecast: 123.08 (-0.19%)  -  123.75 (+0.35%) , until 10:15, Mon 19 Oct 2020 (UTC).

Confidence: 77.8%.

It also tells swing risk is neutral for both directions by the end of today. The chance of upside swing is more considerable from next Monday to Tuesday. Then, the risk will be observed as neutral.

To check Forex trading signals on your Android devices, download Forex Signal by QROSS X.

Australian Dollar surging in a coming week? Trend and Momentum 4-Sep-2020

The stock markets have well surged since last April despite Covid-19 having devastated in the world. It is most likely because of the excessive liquidity brought by central banks in major economies. Even though DJIA down more than 800 points yesterday, it is too soon to conclude the upward trend is over.

Back to the topic, the latest Trend and Momentum indicate Australian dollar could surge in a coming week after reaching the bottom. If you want to see the Trend and Momentums for other FX pairs, visit: QROSS X - Trend and Momentums.

AUDCAD Trend and Momentum

AUDJPY Trend and Momentum

AUDUSD Trend and Momentum

To check Forex trading signals on your Android devices, download Forex Signal by QROSS X.

UK election and GBP on 12-Dec-2019

UK election is ahead on 12-Dec-2019, which held first time on December since 1923.
According to the latest polls, it predicts Tory's majority while it's not comfortable enough to avoid a hung parliament.

Evening Standard: UK opinion polls: Conservatives set for majority of 28... but hung parliament possible as support drops
YouGov has interviewed approximately 100,000 people about their voting intentions in the past seven days.
It said the margin of error could put the final number of Tory seats anywhere between 311 and 367, suggesting a hung Parliament cannot be ruled out.
Sterling fell by around a third of a cent against the US dollar after the news. Financial markets fear a hung parliament would extend the uncertainty over if or when Britain will leave the European Union, which it is currently due to do on January 31,

As mentioned on the above story, outcome of the hung parliament will drag GBP down sharply as the uncertainty over Brexit consequence.
EURGBP is currently near the level after the Brexit referendum 2016.
If British constituencies successfully avoid the hung parliament, the Tory's Brexit deal is expected to be passed before 31-Jan. (some days of technical extension maybe in the worst case.) In this case, GBP will be stronger, approaching toward the level before the Brexit referendum (EURGBP below 0.80).
If it resulted as a hung parliament, EURGBP could jump to around 0.90 - 0.92 up to the highest in 2019.

In the meantime, today's trend and momentum of EURGBP indicates the upward direction in a coming week including the UK election date, which implies the possible hung parliament outcome...
While we recommend to watch out the latest polls, it is also interesting to see if the indicator still reasonably work under the critical event against the market. Let's see tomorrow.


To check Forex trading signals, download Forex Signal by QROSS X.

Swiss Franc could surge in a coming week? Trend and Momentum 26-Nov-2019

Looking at the latest trend and momentums of EURCHF and USDCHF, they are expected to be into downward trend which means Swiss Franc will be relatively stronger against both Euro and US Dollar.

EURCHF Trend and Momentum

USDCHF Trend and Momentum

On this Wednesday, ZEW (Centre for European Economic Research) will publish their survey expectations which consist of business conditions, employment conditions and the other factors in Switzerland. (ZEW Survey - Expectations)

If the actual figure beat the market consensus or expectation, it would be positive for Swiss Franc, which could lead the currency more bullish Of course, in case the figure disappointing the market, Swiss Franc can be into bearish trend. The point is that ZEW publication on Wednesday is a remarkable one which could affect Swiss Franc fundamentally.

Regarding US Dollar, much more economic events are on ahead in coming days. (See the economic calendar on QROSS X). Perhaps, USDCHF can be more volatile than EURCHF in a coming week.


To check Forex trading signals, download Forex Signal by QROSS X.

Canadian Dollar trend reversed shortly even though BoC turned to be dovish stance? 2-Nov-2019

Canadian Dollar (CAD) has weakened against major currencies including GBP and EUR in the last week. Bank of Canada kept the interest rate at 1.75% while they turned dovish, concerning about global trade conflict.

Reuters: Canadian dollar hits two-week low as Bank of Canada takes dovish turn
Canada’s central bank held interest rates steady at 1.75% as expected but left the door open to a possible cut over the coming months to help the economy weather the damaging effects of global trade conflicts.

“The loonie has sold off post-statement due to the fact that the BoC is beginning to witness the effects of external headwinds on the Canadian economy,” said Simon Harvey, FX market analyst for Monex Europe and Monex Canada.

The central bank’s “dovish stance” raises expectations for policy easing, “especially if the economic data and external climate deteriorates further,” Harvey said.

Money markets moved to fully price in a rate cut as early as July. Before the announcement, chances of a cut next year were seen at less than 50%. BOCWATCH

It seems that expectations of the rate cuts next year is taken into account in the price, and BoC still kept 'Neutral' stance on the rates. Natural bounce back can be expected shortly against the overheated mood in FX market. (Of course, there is a possibility BoC may withdraw neutral stance, changing to pessimistic as their concerns in the future.)

BNN Bloomberg: Bank of Canada holds rates, warns economy will be 'tested'
The statement and the fresh batch of more pessimistic growth forecasts will raise questions about the central bank’s commitment to a neutral stance on rates, particularly in the face of global easing in many other countries that has made the Bank of Canada an outlier. If the Federal Reserve lowers its interest rates later today, as expected, the Bank of Canada would have the highest policy rate in the industrialized world.

In the meantime, our trend and momentum signals indicate CAD surging against GBP and EUR in a coming week.

GBPCAD Trend and Momentum

EURCAD Trend and Momentum

To check Forex trading signals, download Forex Signal by QROSS X.

Swiss Franc (CHF) bullish in a coming week? Trend and Momentum on 5-Jul-2019

As a result that Switzerland and EU failed to agree on their future relationship, the investors of each economy are not able to trade stocks listed on each other's stock exchange since last Monday. While the impact for the long term is still not clear, some says there is no immediate impact on Swiss side and EU maybe more badly affected. Another source says high frequency traders will be the most affected badly.

>> [SWI] Has the EU scored an own goal with Swiss stock exchange freeze?
>> [Bloomberg] Swiss Stocks Trade Smoothly on Day One Without EU Recognition

In the meantime, some trend and momentum of CHF indicates that CHF could surge in a coming week. Picked up some better fitted ones, here is the trend and momentum of CHFJPY and USDCHF respectively.

[CHFJPY]

[USDCHF]

To check Forex trading signals, download Forex Signal by QROSS X.

US Dollar surging as its trade tension with China eased 1-Jul-2019

After G20 conference in Osaka, US Dollar has been surging against other currencies as the market sees US's trade tension with China eased.
>> CNBC: Dollar advances to 2-week high after US-China trade tensions ease

The below charts describe AUDUSD and EURUSD respectively since the late last week.

[AUDUSD]

[EURUSD]

On 27-Jun last week, we picked up the Trend and Momentum for AUDUSD and EURUSD. Maybe coincident? or the signal just worked? Who knows...

To check Forex trading signals, download Forex Signal by QROSS X.

US Dollar bullish shortly? Trend and Momentum on 27-Jun-2019

For the last few months, the world have been in geopolitical turbulence, consisting of US-China trade tension and US-Iran relation symbolically. UK's new prime minister will be designated by the end of July, while the recent poll indicates Mr.Boris Johnson is more likely to be a new PM than the foreign secretary Mr.Jeremy Hunt.

>> UK’s next prime minister — who are the lead candidates?

Let's shift the gear to technical matters, USD is expected to surge in a coming week according to the Trend and Momentum. The signal is more particularly observed in AUDUSD and EURUSD.

AUDUSD

[AUDUSD Trend and Momentum as of 27-Jun-2019]

EURUSD

[USD Trend and Momentum as of 27-Jun-2019]

To check Forex trading signals, download Forex Signal by QROSS X.

Australian Dollar surging in a coming week? Trend and Momentum on 30-Apr-2019

Australian Dollar (AUD) 's performance has been bearish for about last two weeks against some major currencies CAD or USD while NZD has been even weaker since the end of March.

Australian economy fairly depends on Chinese economy which is under pressure, and the second biggest economy could drive Australian economy and the value of its currency.

As a matter of technical indicators for the short term, the Trend and Momentum are indicating AUD could be surging in a coming week, and quick downturn after surging is also anticipated.

AUDCAD

[AUDCAD Trend and Momentum as of 30-Apr-2019]

AUDUSD

[AUDUSD Trend and Momentum as of 30-Apr-2019]

To check Forex trading signals, download Forex Signal by QROSS X.

Review of New Zealand Dollar for last 3 days

Having recently posted an article about NZD forecast, we review those forecasts of NZDCAD, NZDUSD and NZDJPY which were picked up.

Although some of them once downed further, NZD has reverted against the downward trend for the past two weeks. It proves nothing in fact as no one can predict the future market at 100% surely. For the traders and our App users, it encourages that better fitted analysis would lead to more precise forecast.
Figures of those three FXs in Forecast vs Realized market are described as below. NZDCAD had downed a little bit more sharply at the analysis, and it seemed to have less room to deepen further for last 3 days.

[NZDCAD Forecast vs Realized market]

NZDCAD Trend & Momentum on 23-Apr-2019

NZDCAD 23 to 26-Apr-2019 (TradingView)

[NZDUSD Forecast vs Realized market]

NZDUSD Trend & Momentum on 23-Apr-2019

NZDUSD 23 to 26-Apr-2019 (TradingView)

[NZDJPY Forecast vs Realized market]

NZDJPY Trend & Momentum on 23-Apr-2019

NZDJPY 23 to 26-Apr-2019 (TradingView)

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