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Saturday 23 February 2019

GBP against AUD, CAD and NZD in a few coming days. Follow the Brexit issues.

Once we have continuously picked up Trend and Momentum analysis from the list of FX. (You will find all of them on our website or Android app)
Those were just the examples which are expected to help users to understand how to see the Trend and Momentum indicators. Since our last update was long while ago, it seems be harder to find our articles in old days. It's probably reasonable to update some examples in the latest market now.

According to the update on the beginning of 22-Feb (UTC), the analysis result had indicated downward trend in GBPAUD, GBPCAD and GBPNZD. Those have downed by approx 0.40%, 0.60% and 0.55% respectively. While the momentary backlash would be likely, the Trend and Momentum still shows further room to downward.

[GBPAUD Trend and Momentum on 22-Feb-2019 UTC]
Last closed at 1.831.
Analyzed bottom by 1.80 (-1.69%).







[GBPCAD Trend and Momentum on 22-Feb-2019 UTC]
Last closed at 1.714.
Analyzed bottom by 1.70 (-0.82%).







[GBPNZD Trend and Momentum on 22-Feb-2019 UTC]
Last closed at 1.90.
Analyzed bottom by 1.88 (-1.05%).







It's just a reminder that GBP would be sensitive to Brexit issues including some speculations. A new Brexit deal is expected to be reached by 26-Feb next week. Otherwise, Theresa May would return to House of Common for further discussion with MPs.

[BBC] Brexit: What happens now?
If the EU were to agree to changes and MPs backed the adjusted deal, that would be a great result for Theresa May.

But senior EU politicians have said they will not reopen the legal text of the withdrawal agreement that they negotiated with the UK.

If MPs aren't satisfied with any adjusted deal put before them they could reject it again. Theresa May has also promised that even if she can't get the changes she's after, she would return to the House of Commons yet again on 27 February and allow MPs a further day of debate.


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Friday 22 February 2019

Energy Transition long way to be real

Energy Transition whose concept includes the matters of energy technology or fuel sources, is naturally posed with "Climate Change". Fossil fuels are typically targeted in such discussion because of Carbon dioxide (CO2) being produced and pollution, too.
While the Energy transition is an idealistic concept, the reality seems be that people on this planet continue reliant on fossil fuel including oil as much as now. According to the report OIL 2018, it indicates that world oil demand increases by more than 5.5% until 2023. World Oil Outlook of Opec in 2017 has also indicated that Eurasia primary energy demand of oil, coal and gas increase 0.6%, 0.5% and 0.7% per year respectively by 2040. Nuclear energy demand is expected to outpace those energy sources, but it is behind higher risk at accidents, which was reminded from Fukushima disaster in 2011.

Big players in the market, are ironically investing into the oil production infrastructures these days, according to the below sources. Perhaps, it is too early to restructure your portfolio, adapting to Energy transition, unless your investment horizon is beyond next 50 years?

[Bloomberg] KKR, BlackRock Are Set to Invest $4 Billion in Adnoc Pipeline
KKR & Co. and BlackRock Inc. are set to invest in Abu Dhabi National Oil Co.’s pipeline network in a deal valued at $4 billion to $4.5 billion, according to people familiar with knowledge of the matter.

[The Economist] ExxonMobil gambles on growth
A fossil-fuel titan’s strategy is at odds with efforts to hold back climate change
.....
On February 1st the company announced annual results, declaring itself on track for ambitious growth. By 2025, oil and gas production will be 25% higher than in 2017.