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Thursday, 30 July 2015

AUDJPY Long term anomaly? 30-Jul-2015

Since early last month, some of stock indices have been downward trend with Chinese stock market plummeted. List of major stock indices are listed on a post in the past.

By the way, although anomaly is just anomaly without any fundamentals evidence, it implies the time for risky asset to be adjusted. We have introduced anomaly in stock market on this blog, Forex Flyer.

AUDJPY 1993 - Present
For a last 2-3 years, AUD has been declined against major currencies due to the interest rate lowered. Some market analysts mention Australian economy highly depends on Chinese economy nowadays, and it implies current Chinese market slow down badly affect to Australian market. If Australian market is being slow down further, the interest rate could be cut to ease financial policy. It means AUD will be at downside risk in that situation.
This is just a mathematical trick, anomaly oddly describe AUDJPY stays near the peak, applying trend & momentum analysis. JPY is typically strong while global market is shrink and vulnerable while AUD is considered more risky asset relatively.

The fact is the market has become very volatile for months, facing geopolitical issues, such as Greek bailout or Chinese stock market.

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